Lukwago’s Blog

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Setting Priorities in solving Global problems.

With multiple global problems and limited resources ,its always a question of how policy makers should prioritise the solution . I found Professor Bjorn Lomborg ( Coppenhagen Business School ) arguments so interestin that i decided to share it with you . Foremost, he recognises global warming as a world problem but totally disagrees on how its recieving international priority as a major world crisis at the expense of real striking global problems
like HIV/AIDS,malaria,hunger ,birth and infant mortality rates etc.
here are some of his top arguments of why global warming should be given less attention

1. UN science consesus expects temperature rise of 3-7 degrees F leading to a rise of about 1.5 feet sea level at the end of the century which is quite manageable

2.Although Global warming will cause about 400,000 heat related deaths globally, it will on a positive side cause 1.8 million fewer cold related deaths

3.Most economic models show global warming damage will be 3% of world GDP which is not a threat since UN expects at the end of the century an average person will be 1400 % richer.

4.Implimentation of Kyoto protocol at 180 billion dollars annually will solve 2million from hunger at the end of the century yet on the other hand UN estimates at 10 billion dollars annually, we can save 229 million people from hunger. There fore is it better spending money to save 1 person in 100 years or use the money to save 5000 people now ?

source and recommended recource
” How to spend 50 billion dollars to make a world a better place ” by Bjorn Lomborg.
“Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist’s Guide to Global Warming” by Bjorn Lomborg
TED video Bjorn Lomborg
copenhagen

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June 7, 2009 - Posted by | 1

1 Comment »

  1. Hey lukwago, very interesting figures! I especially like Nr. 2, I never considered that all that heat could prevent people from freezing. I also think that Lomborgs argument is valid, particularly if you consider the extents that global warming and other catastrophies such as HIV currently have on the world population. Anyhow, I think that his arguments only hold in short-run. I mean, If I you compare potential death tolls of a Malaria Pandemie and that of the total destruction of the earth…. Some survivors are at least better than none at all!!!

    greetings Jonas

    Comment by reva7 | June 8, 2009 | Reply


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